Report: Israel Pressing the US To Assassinate Iran’s Lead Negotiator

(Dave DeCamp, Antiwar.comIsrael is pressing the US to restart heavy airstrikes on Iran that would involve the targeted killing of Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, one of Tehran’s lead negotiators, and attacks on the country’s oil infrastructure, Capital & Empire reported on Thursday.

The report, which cited US sources familiar with a classified report circulating within the US intelligence community, said Israel is aggressively pushing for the US to abandon talks with Iran and insisting that destroying oil infrastructure in the country could bring about regime change while also downplaying the impact the renewed full-scale war will have on the global economy.

Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf hosts Pakistani Interior Minister Mohsin Naqvi in Tehran on May 17, 2026 (Office of the Iranian Parliament Speaker)

The New York Times previously reported that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu had pitched President Trump on launching the war back in early February by making a series of predictions that proved to be wrong, including the idea that Iran was ripe for regime change, that its ballistic missile program could be destroyed within weeks, and that it would be too weak to close the Strait of Hormuz.

Israeli officials have been clear that they want to restart the US-Israeli bombing campaign and have threatened to kill Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, who replaced his father, Ali Khamenei, after he was killed by an Israeli strike on February 28, the first day of the war.

The Capital & Empire report said that Israel has made the case to kill Ghalibaf directly to the US Department of War, and has focused on him since Khamenei’s whereabouts are unknown. The US intelligence report also determined that Israel wouldn’t target Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi.

Israel has a history of targeting officials involved in negotiations. In September 2025, Israel attempted to kill Hamas leader Khalil al-Hayya in Qatar as he was involved in negotiations on a Gaza ceasefire deal. The attack killed al-Hayya’s son, and an Israeli airstrike in Gaza recently killed another son of al-Hayyaas he was involved in talks with the US-led so-called “Board of Peace.”

Congress to Question Ex-AG Pam Bondi on Epstein Files

(Headline USAFormer Attorney General Pam Bondi is testifying before House lawmakers investigating Jeffrey Epstein’s sexual abuse cases, a long-awaited appearance that brings fresh scrutiny of the administration’s botched release of the Epstein case files.

Bondi was defiant in previous public testimony when she was confronted by lawmakers about the Epstein investigation. It’s unclear whether she’ll bring the same approach Friday, now that she is no longer in charge of the Justice Department. The session will be held behind closed doors.

The transcribed interview will give lawmakers a chance to dig for information on the Trump administration’s handling of the Epstein files and other related matters, including the prison sentence of his former girlfriend and confidant, Ghislaine Maxwell. The Justice Department moved Maxwell to a prison camp in Texas last August.

“I think she absolutely could clear up many missing pieces if she wanted to,” said Rep. Yassamin Ansari, an Arizona Democrat on the House Oversight Committee. “Now it’s a question of whether or not she is willing to be transparent.”

Lawmakers are trying to find out what decisions prosecutors have made about investigating Epstein associates, how the Justice Department handled the congressional mandate to release the Epstein case files and whether President Donald Trump was involved in the process.

Bondi, who revealed this week that she is being treated for thyroid cancer, has stayed within Trump’s orbit even after being ousted from her job in early April.

Trump appointed her to a White House panel on artificial intelligence this week, and Bondi will be accompanied Friday by Justice Department officials, including Harmeet Dhillon, who heads the department’s Civil Rights Division, acting as her counsel.

Democrats say that arrangement is a conflict of interest.

A spokesperson for the Justice Department said the officials were there to help lawmakers understand the department’s process for releasing the case files.

Adapted from reporting by the Associated Press

Ex-FBI Agent Can’t Shake Lawsuit from Director’s Girlfriend

(Ken Silva, Headline USA) A judge has denied former FBI agent Kyle Seraphin’s motion to dismiss a defamation lawsuit filed by Director Kashyap Patel’s girlfriend, Alexis Wilkins, who is suing Seraphin over his claims that she’s an Israeli intelligence asset who’s acting as a “honeypot”—a tactic where someone sexually manipulates their target to compromise, manipulate or spy on them.

Seraphin filed a motion to dismiss the lawsuit last November on the grounds that he was being sarcastic when he made those comments, and that Wilkins is a public figure.

But a judge denied both of those arguments last Friday. The judge said any reasonable listener would have thought Seraphin, who paints himself as a whistleblower, was being serious when he accused Wilkins. The judge also said that Seraphin acted with “actual malice”—meaning that it doesn’t matter whether Wilkins is a public figure.

Seraphin initially levied his allegations towards Wilkins last August.

“[Patel] has had his own little ‘honeypot’ issue that’s been going on of late, so we’re just going to acknowledge it real publicly. He’s got a girlfriend that is half his age, who is apparently is both a country music singer, a political commentator on Rumble, a friend of John Rich through [Dan] Bongino, who also now owns a big chunk of Rumble, and she’s also a former Mossad agent in what is like the equivalent of their NSA,” Seraphin said on his online show.

When Seraphin first responded to the lawsuit on Alex Jones’s show on Aug. 28, he did not say he was joking about Wilkins. In fact, he doubled down on his claims.

“Look, we drew some real simple, logical connections: You have a 26-year-old gal that has connections to every single person in the conservative industry, that somehow was this very popular country music singer at the age of 21. She has a political podcast—I don’t know what 25-year-olds know about politics … And then she’s hired on by PragerU, as well. And the CEO of PragerU was an IDF, Unit 8200 operative,” Seraphin told Jones.

“You’ve got an 18-year age gap. That’s worth asking questions [about] … She was a press secretary for two months … When you start looking at some of these things, and you read some of these internet rabbit holes, you go like, ‘Well shoot. There’s a lot of smoke in that, and it’s really strange,’” he added.

Wilkins is also suing right-wing influencer Elijah Schaffer for promoting the Israeli allegations against her.

Wilkins’s lawsuit against Schaffer stems from a Sept. 14 tweet where a Twitter/X account explained how females from the Mossad—Israeli’s intelligence agency—have been used as “honeypots” to seduce government officials and other targets. In response to that tweet, right-wing influencer Elijah Schaffer tweeted a photo of Patel and Wilkins.

Schaffer didn’t explicitly say that Wilkins was an Israeli honeypot sent to seduce Patel. Nevertheless, his post prompted Wilkins to file a lawsuit on Oct. 28 in federal court.

The lawsuit against Schaffer has been heavily criticized since he only tweeted out a picture. Schaffer, for his part, said he plans to fight the lawsuit vigorously, including by obtaining discovery to see if Patel is the one pushing it.

However, a judge also denied Schaffer’s motion to dismiss, and the parties are negotiating a settlement in that case.

Ken Silva is the editor of Headline USA. Follow him at x.com/jd_cashless.

DOJ Denies It’s Investigating Trump Accuser E. Jean Carroll

(Headline USAThe top federal prosecutor in Chicago denied Thursday evening that his office had opened an investigation into E. Jean Carroll, the longtime advice columnist who has said Donald Trump sexually assaulted her in a New York department store 30 years ago, hours after multiple news organizations reported that the Justice Department was investigating whether she had lied during the course of civil litigation against Trump.

The Associated Press and other news organizations, citing anonymous sources, reported that the federal prosecutors’ office in Chicago had opened an investigation into Carroll examining possible perjury allegations.

But Andrew Boutros, the U.S. attorney for the Northern District of Illinois, issued a statement roughly 24 hours after the first report was published saying that his office “has not opened — and has never opened — a criminal investigation into E. Jean Carroll.”

A lawyer for Carroll declined to comment through a spokesperson on Thursday.

The Justice Department investigation into Carroll was first reported by CNN on Wednesday evening.

Carroll, whose advice column ran in the women’s magazine Elle from 1993 to 2019, has reportedly accused at least six prior men of raping her, including former CBS President Les Moonves. Her bizarre social-media history also included posts making light of sexual trauma and even asking her followers if they found Trump sexually attractive. Trump was prevented from submitting that evidence in his trial.

A civil jury in Manhattan issued the $88.3 million award in 2024 following a trial that centered on Trump’s repeated social media attacks against Carroll over her claims that he sexually assaulted her in a Manhattan department store in 1996.

That award followed a separate trial, in which Trump was found liable for sexually abusing Carroll and ordered to pay $5 million. That award was upheld by an appeals court last December.

In a memoir, and again at a 2023 trial, Carroll described how a chance encounter with Trump at Bergdorf Goodman’s Fifth Avenue in 1996 started with the two flirting as they shopped, then ended with a violent struggle inside a dressing room.

Carroll said Trump slammed her against a dressing room wall, pulled down her tights and forced himself on her.

A jury found Trump liable for sexual assault, but concluded he hadn’t committed rape, as defined under New York law.

Trump repeatedly denied that the encounter took place and accused Carroll of making it up to help sell her book.

He also said that Carroll was “not my type.”

Adapted from reporting by the Associated Press

DOJ Sues 4 States Over Denial of Undercover License Plates to Federal Agents

(The Center Square) The Department of Justice filed separate federal lawsuits Wednesday against Washington, Oregon, Maine and Massachusetts, escalating a clash between the Trump administration and Democratic-led states over federal immigration enforcement.

The legal action follows a formal warning issued earlier this month by the Justice Department, which all four states refused to act upon. Federal officials argue the restrictions violate the U.S. Constitution, intentionally obstruct federal power and put undercover agents at risk.

The lawsuits stem from decisions by state motor vehicle departments to suspend or heavily restrict the issuance of confidential, undercover license plates to Department of Homeland Security personnel, including Immigration and Customs Enforcement and Customs and Border Protection.

According to court filings, the states have openly targeted these federal agencies due to political opposition to their missions. The DOJ noted in its complaints that:

• Washington suspended both the issuance and renewal of undercover plates for all DHS-affiliated agencies.

• Massachusetts blocked ICE and CBP plates specifically because the state “objects to their immigration enforcement missions.”

• Maine and Oregon placed their entire confidential plate programs under review for federal agencies as a roadblock to civil immigration enforcement.

In a formal letter sent to Washington Attorney General Nick Brown on May 12, Assistant Attorney General Brett A. Shumate warned that the states are unlawfully discriminating against the federal government while simultaneously issuing undercover plates to their own state and local police forces without restriction.

“As the Supreme Court has long held, the Supremacy Clause incorporates principles of intergovernmental immunity,” Shumate wrote, citing United States v. Washington. “A state law or policy is invalid if it regulates the United States directly or discriminates against the Federal Government.”

Similar letters were sent to officials in the other three states.

The DOJ’s court filings assert that the four states are attempting to “obstruct the Federal Government’s immigration enforcement efforts, even though control over immigration and the nation’s borders is an exclusive federal power.”

States push back

State officials have quickly fired back, arguing that they have a right to prevent state resources from being co-opted for aggressive federal immigration crackdowns.

Brown took aim at the Justice Department’s factual and legal premises. In his response letter, Brown countered that the federal government was mischaracterizing the state’s actions.

“Unfortunately, because your letter makes unwarranted threats to take legal action against Washington State, it first appears that a factual clarification is necessary,” Brown wrote. “The Washington State Department of Licensing voluntarily provides hundreds of undercover plates to federal agencies each year. This includes providing license plates to the Federal Bureau of Investigation, the Drug Enforcement Administration, the U.S. Marshals Service, and the U.S. Secret Service.

“The implication in your letter that Washington is denying undercover plates to all federal agencies and thereby potentially hampering federal criminal investigations into terrorism, fraud, and more is simply wrong,” he wrote.

Brown also questioned the DOJ’s interpretation of the Constitution.

“Your letter is also wrong on the law. You suggest that Washington must issue undercover plates to all federal agencies without exception,” he wrote. “But under the Tenth Amendment and fundamental principles of federalism, Washington may choose whether to provide State resources to assist with federal programs.”

Oregon officials framed their refusal as a matter of statutory compliance and state sovereignty.

In a letter to the DOJ, Oregon DMV Administrator Amy Joyce asserted that state vehicle code “permits, but does not require, DMV to issue undercover plates.”

Joyce emphasized that Oregon’s temporary freeze on the program was an administrative compliance check rather than an intentional effort to put agents in harm’s way, writing that the pause was meant to ensure “issuance of vehicle registrations and license plates to federal agencies fully complies with Oregon law.”

Massachusetts and Maine focused their pushback on the actions of immigration enforcement.

Maine Secretary of State Shenna Bellows, who oversees her state’s Bureau of Motor Vehicles, defended the freeze she implemented in January. She clarified that Maine will still issue plates to federal agencies that explicitly agree to conditions excluding civil immigration enforcement.

“We don’t have secret police in a democracy,” Bellows said. “We’re not giving ICE undercover license plates for civil immigration enforcement.”

In Massachusetts, a spokesperson for Attorney General Joy Campbell stated that state lawyers are actively reviewing the federal complaint and intend to “defend the [Registry of Motor Vehicles] policy to the greatest extent possible.”

Safety risks, targeted harassment

The Justice Department counters that the lack of confidential plates directly threatens public safety by leaving federal vehicles exposed to tracking via standard government plates or public records requests.

The DOJ emphasizes that these agents are investigating non-immigration criminal operations — such as narcotics smuggling, weapons trafficking, terrorism, and human trafficking — that require deep covert surveillance.

If suspects can easily identify surveillance vehicles, they can destroy evidence, take violent countermeasures or evade arrest entirely.

Furthermore, federal officials highlighted an increasingly hostile climate for personnel in the field, pointing to specific data from late 2025 and early 2026:

• An 8,000% spike in death threats against ICE officers and their families.

• Documented cases of activist groups “doxing” federal employees to track them to their homes.

• Intelligence reports regarding bounties originating from Mexico offered to shoot ICE and CBP officers.

Legal relief sought

Acting U.S. Attorney General Todd Blanche stated that the Civil Division has been instructed to target any local or state practices that thwart lawful federal operations.

“By denying undercover license plates to DHS components, including ICE, while issuing them to their own state agencies, these governors are pursuing discriminatory and obstructionist policies against federal law enforcement,” Blanche said in a press release. “These actions undermine federal immigration enforcement, allow dangerous criminals to escape justice, and terrorize American communities.”

The Justice Department has filed individual suits in U.S. district courts in each respective state, seeking judicial declarations to nullify the state restrictions and force the immediate resumption of the undercover plate programs for federal agents.

Identity of Obama Judge Busted in Sex Scandal Revealed

(Luis CornelioHeadline USA) The embattled federal judge reprimanded for engaging in sexual intercourse inside her taxpayer-funded chambers was identified Thursday as U.S. District Judge Eleanor Ross, whose jurisdiction includes parts of Georgia.

Nonprofit organization Marco Polo first publicly identified Ross as the judge at the center of the sexual scandal. Ross’s chambers did not respond to Headline USA’s repeated requests for comment.

Bloomberg Law later confirmed Ross’s identity, citing a source familiar with the investigation. Court filing information had also pointed to Ross as the likely judge referenced in the disciplinary proceedings.

Ross, appointed to the bench by former President Barack Obama in 2014, agreed to a series of disciplinary measures imposed by the U.S. Committee on Judicial Conduct and Disability of the Judicial Conference.

The allegations date back to September 2025, though Ross formally agreed to the disciplinary measures in February. The committee’s filing detailing the misconduct was publicly released May 22.

Without naming Ross directly, the committee’s filing accused the judge of having an “extramarital affair” with a “high-ranking law enforcement officer.”

Investigators said the judge engaged in sexual intercourse with the officer inside her chambers during business hours.

The filing further revealed that the sex acts occurred “within hearing distance of staff.” Ross also reportedly attended a partisan political event and made false statements to both the chief circuit judge and chief district judge during the investigation.

Law clerks interviewed during the probe even recalled that the judge said she had too many “martinis” the night before at the political event.

As part of the disciplinary agreement, Ross agreed to apologize to the six law clerks she subjected to her misconduct. She must also forgo ever serving as the district’s chief judge if the opportunity ever arises.

Critics on social media blasted the measures as too lenient and demanded that Ross either resign or face further congressional or criminal scrutiny instead.

Before joining the U.S. District Court, Ross worked as a top prosecutor in the Fulton County District Attorney’s Office. That office is now led by Fani Willis, the Democrat prosecutor behind Georgia’s criminal case against President Donald Trump.

Willis herself came under scrutiny after revelations that she had a sexual affair with the same prosecutor she appointed to lead the Trump case. The case was ultimately thrown out over the conflict of interest.

NC Court Deems Local Directive Allowing Nonresidents to Vote as Unconstitutional

(Luis CornelioHeadline USA) For years, the North Carolina Board of Elections maintained that state law allowed certain non-residents to vote in federal elections. On Tuesday, a state court ruled that this interpretation was unconstitutional. 

The ruling came in a lawsuit brought by the Republican National Committee against the North Carolina Board of Elections, challenging the controversial interpretation of the state’s voter eligibility laws. 

The lawsuit centered on the board’s position that while the North Carolina Supreme Court had barred non-residents from voting in state and local elections, those individuals could still cast ballots in federal races. 

The Wake County Superior Court rejected that argument, according to a statement by the Republican National Committee, with RNC Chairman Joe Gruters hailing the ruling as a victory for “fair and lawful elections.” 

“The court upheld the North Carolina Constitution and made clear that only North Carolina residents can vote in the state,” Gruters said. “The RNC will keep fighting to ensure only eligible citizens can vote.” 

The RNC had sued the North Carolina Board of Elections after it allowed individuals born overseas and who had never lived in the state to vote in federal elections. 

“After the State Supreme Court’s decision, the North Carolina Board of Elections stopped allowing non-residents to vote for state offices but continued to allow them to vote in federal elections,” the RNC noted. 

The RNC stressed that the ruling does not affect eligible voters under the Uniformed and Overseas Citizens Absentee Voting Act, which allows U.S. citizens serving abroad to vote absentee so long as they previously lived in the state. 

North Carolina Republican Party Chairman Jason Simmons echoed Gruters’s remarks in a separate statement. 

“This ruling confirms the state constitution forbids voting by individuals who have never lived in North Carolina,” Simmons added. “The Court of Appeals and Supreme Court decisively ruled on this previously and the decision reaffirms the common-sense principle only North Carolina citizens can vote in North Carolina elections.” 

DHS Threatens to Halt Customs Processing at Airports in Sanctuary Cities

(The Center Square) Major airports across the country could soon freeze customs processing and cancel all international flights if sanctuary cities continue bucking federal immigration enforcement operations.

Department of Homeland Security Secretary Markwayne Mullin warned that he might pull out Customs and Border Patrol agents from airports in sanctuary cities. CBP agents are responsible for performing security inspections of international travelers, so a complete withdrawal would cripple airports’ processing of international flights.

Mullin said that because sanctuary cities forbid local law enforcement from working with federal immigration agents and generally allow rowdy protests against agents, DHS will “have to decide where we’re going to prioritize our federal employees.”

“We’ve got to prioritize federal police officers, and that may affect international flights coming in and out of their airport. Because I’m going to have to pull Customs and Border Protection officers out of being able to process international flights and put them helping our ICE agents,” Mullin told FOX News in a clip posted Thursday.

“If things don’t change, we’re going to have to make this step pretty quick,” he added. “Because I’m not going to put my employees and my ICE agents at risk.”

Mullin’s plan, if carried out, would force airlines to halt all international flights to the impacted airports, triggering an economic and logistical nightmare for the airline and tourism industries.

Airports DHS would target include New York’s John F. Kennedy International Airport; Chicago’s O’Hare International Airport; Boston’s Logan International Airport; Denver International Airport; Philadelphia International Airport; Newark Liberty International Airport; Los Angeles International Airport; San Francisco International Airport; Portland International Airport; Seattle-Tacoma International Airport; and potentially others.

Removing CBP agents from those airports would also create a ripple effect on airports in non-sanctuary jurisdictions. Those airports could get overwhelmed by increased flights and passengers rerouted from the international travel hubs targeted by DHS.

Mullin’s ultimatum is the latest example of the Trump administration pressuring Democrat-led states and cities to comply with federal immigration enforcement operations.

The administration has sued multiple jurisdictions in California, Illinois, New York, Colorado for enacting policies that violate federal immigration law. President Donald Trump has also threatened to withhold federal funding from sanctuary cities.

Google Employee Charged w/ using Inside Info to Make $1.2 Million on Polymarket

(Headline USAU.S. prosecutors slapped insider trading charges against a Google employee this week, alleging the software engineer used confidential company information to pocket more than $1.2 million from prediction market platform Polymarket with bets on search trends.

In a complaint unsealed in New York, authorities identified the employee as 36-year-old Michele Spagnuolo — an Italian citizen residing in Switzerland who has worked for Google since 2014. Under the online name “AlphaRaccoon,” they alleged, Spagnuolo used the company’s 2025 “Year in Search” data before it was published to enter Polymarket wagers about the most trending Googled people of last year.

This week’s charges “reinforce a decades-old message: corporate insiders cannot use confidential business information to turn a profit in our markets,” Jay Clayton, U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York, said Wednesday. “Insider trading compromises the integrity of our markets, and the American people want this greed-driven conduct investigated and prosecuted.”

Spagnuolo allegedly made new Polymarket trades as Google’s internal search data evolved, from October into December of last year. For example, per the complaint, Spagnuolo initially wagered that Kendrick Lamar — who headlined the 2025 Super Bowl halftime show — would top search trends for people last year. But after internal Google data showed that alt-pop singer D4vd was later leading the influx of searches, he placed new bets. D4vd, whose legal name is David Burke, was charged last month with murdering 14-year-old Celeste Rivas Hernandez.

Using the prediction market’s “yes” or “no” wagers, Spagnuolo also made a series of Polymarket trades about other individuals who would or wouldn’t rank in Google’s 2025 search trends, the complaint said. And after the data was published on Dec. 4, the AlphaRaccoon account soon pocketed sizeable profits. An FBI investigation later traced its cryptocurrency payments.

An attorney for Spagnuolo was not immediately identified. California-based Google confirmed to The Associated Press it had placed its employee on leave.

“The employee accessed our marketing material using a tool available to all employees, but using such confidential information to place bets is a serious breach of our policies,” a Google spokesperson said in a statement — adding the company was working with law enforcement and “will take the appropriate action.”

Polymarket reiterated it too worked closely with authorities. A spokesperson also touted that the company “is the only prediction platform to date whose cooperation has led to insider trading charges in the United States” — and maintained blockchain trading, which Polymarket uses, is “transparent, traceable, and bad actors leave footprints.”

Spagnuolo isn’t first person to face insider trading charges spanning from Polymarket trades. Last month, the government also charged a special forces soldier who made over $400,000 from Polymarket trades betting on the downfall of former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro. The solider allegedly used classified information ahead of January’s U.S. military operation, which he was a part of.

Such scandals have put the spotlight on a murky (and growing) world of speculative, 24/7 transactions now filling the internet. Prediction markets sell event contracts — so they’re also categorized and regulated differently from traditional forms of gambling. That’s raised concerns about consumer protections, and legal battles over government oversight.

President Donald Trump’s administration has already thrown its support behind company operators — and sued several states over their regulation efforts. Meanwhile, the industry is scrambling to assure the public with new guardrails. Polymarket recently rewrote its rules to clearly state users cannot trade on contracts where they might possess confidential information, or could influence the outcome of an event.

Spagnuolo is being charged with violating the U.S. Commodity Exchange Act, wire fraud and money laundering. He could face years of prison time.

Adapted from reporting by the Associated Press

US Jobless Claims Rise to 215,000, But Layoffs Remain Low

(Headline USAMore Americans sought unemployment benefits last week, but layoffs remain low despite economic uncertainty caused by the Iran war.

The Labor Department reported Thursday that jobless claims were up to 215,000, up from 210,000 the week before. The four-week moving average of claims, which smooths out week-to-week volatility, rose by nearly 6,300 to 209,000.

“Initial claims are still impressively low, near historic lows,” Carl Weinberg, chief economist at High Frequency Economics, wrote in a commentary. “The uptick from last week to this week is trivial in a labor market of 159 million workers.″

The number of Americans signing up for unemployment benefits — a proxy for layoffs — has stabilized in a low range of mostly 200,000 to 250,000 a week since the U.S. economy emerged from a brief but nasty pandemic recession in 2020.

The total number of people collecting jobless aid rose by 15,000 to 1.79 million the week that ended May 16.

The persistently low number of claims suggests that most U.S. companies have not resorted to layoffs. But even if they’re not cutting jobs, employers haven’t been adding many either. Last year, companies, nonprofits and government agencies added fewer than 10,000 jobs a month, weakest hiring outside recession years since 2002.

Job creation has picked up a bit so far this year — to an average of 76,000 a month from January through April. By contrast, employers added 122,000 a month in 2024 and averaged nearly 400,000 a month from 2021 through 2023 as the economy roared back from COVID-19 lockdowns.

But the United States now needs fewer jobs to keep the unemployment rate from rising. President Donald Trump’s immigration crackdown and ongoing Baby Boomer retirements means that the monthly “break-even rate″ of monthly hiring may be as low as zero. And the unemployment rate — 4.3% in April — has, in fact, remained low by historic standards.

The Iran war has clouded the economic outlook as higher energy prices squeeze consumers and businesses. Iran responded to U.S. and Israeli attacks by turning to economic warfare — closing the Strait of Hormuz, through which a fifth of the world’s oil passes, and causing the biggest disruption of global oil supplies in history. In response, U.S. gasoline prices have surged to an average of $4.43 a gallon from an average $2.98 a gallon on the eve of the conflict, according to AAA.

Adapted from reporting by the Associated Press