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Thursday, November 21, 2024

Even N.Y. Times Admits Biden Is Losing Ground w/ Minority Voters

'Weak support for Mr. Biden could easily manifest itself as low turnout — as it did in 2022 — even if many young and less engaged voters ultimately do not vote for Mr. Trump... '

(Robert Jonathan, Headline USA) Sifting through polling data, the so-called newspaper of record has acknowledged that support for Joe Biden among black and Hispanic voters is showing “consistent signs of erosion.”

In an article published on Labor Day, the New York Times conceded that Biden is underperforming with those constituency groups in the context of a potential 2024 sequel to the 2020 election.

The far-left Times, which is the written word version of MSNBC, extrapolated its analysis from polls it conducted with Siena College.

“On average, Mr. Biden leads Mr. Trump by just 53 percent to 28 percent among registered nonwhite voters in a compilation of Times/Siena polls from 2022 and 2023, which includes over 1,500 nonwhite respondents,” the news outlet explained.

The Times added that “The results represent a marked deterioration in Mr. Biden’s support compared with 2020, when he won more than 70 percent of nonwhite voters.”

If Biden doesn’t turn things around by Election Day 2024, “it will continue a decade-long trend of declining Democratic strength among voters considered to be the foundation of the party.”

Last month, the Washington Post, another pro-Biden corporate media outlet, published a roughly similar warning, based on about a 10% decline in participation by black voters in the 2020 midterms.

“Weak support for Mr. Biden could easily manifest itself as low turnout — as it did in 2022 — even if many young and less engaged voters ultimately do not vote for Mr. Trump,” the Times claimed.

Insofar as the Times data is concerned, however, registered voters is typically considered a less-reliable metric than likely voters.

“The survey finds evidence that a modest but important 5 percent of nonwhite Biden voters now support Mr. Trump, including 8 percent of Hispanic voters who say they backed Mr. Biden in 2020,” the Times also indicated, while at the same time revealing that no one in that category is switching from Donald Trump to Biden.

According to a Real Clear Politics aggregate of 10 polls, Biden and Trump are essentially tied in a general-election matchup.

Biden polices have, for example, prompted a cost-of-living crisis and ushered in a massive surge of illegal immigration, which is perhaps why RCP’s collection of 11 polls currently shows the incumbent with a mediocre 42% job approval rating.

The Times material nonetheless still indicates a sizable lead for Democrats in the two communities under discussion, although even a small uptick for presumptive candidate Trump in some swing states could be decisive for the GOP.

Counter to the conventional media narrative, the Times further admitted that “If the gap persists until the election, it will raise the possibility that the political realignment unleashed by Mr. Trump’s brand of conservative populism has spread to erode the political loyalties of working-class voters, of all races, who were drawn to the Democrats by material interests in an earlier era of politics.”

Reacting to the Times reporting Georgetown University adjunct law professor and Substacker William Otis asserted that “Hey Lefties, wake up! Neither working class black people (nor any other working class people who think) are going to be thrilled when illegal immigrants are taking their jobs, and doing so just as the taxes they pay are financing the services illegals absorb.”

If polls are accurate, Trump’s prestige with voters from all walks of life apparently seems to have improved with each politicized indictment.

As a practical matter, surveys that show a Republican candidate with any kind of electoral advantage may, however, be far less relevant unless the GOP can get a handle on collecting mail-in ballots and effectively implementing a ground game for ballot harvesting where legal.

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