(Headline USA) Virginia Republicans are on track to win a majority in the House of Delegates, according to results certified by the state on Monday.
The certified results from the Nov. 2 election show Republicans leading in 52 districts and the Democrats leading in 48.
But two races where Republicans are leading by razor-thin margins are eligible for recounts, leaving open a remote possibility of a 50–50 split in the chamber.
Democrats conceded control of the House to Republicans several days after the election, but have since tempered that concession after it became clear that the 85th and 91st districts appeared headed for recounts.
The Associated Press hasn’t called the two races that are within the margins for recounts: District 91, where Republican A.C. Cordoza leads Democratic Del. Martha Mugler by 94 votes out of 27,388 votes counted; and District 85, where Republican Karen Greenhalgh leads Democratic Del. Alex Askew by 127 votes out of 28,413 votes counted.
The margin in both races is under 0.5%, which allows losing candidates to request state-funded recounts.
Democrat House Speaker Eileen Filler–Corn said Monday that recounts appear likely.
“It looks like it’s moving in the direction, that they are moving forward with the recounts,” Filler–Corn said, although she added that the final decisions will be up to Askew and Mugler.
“We are close enough that the state will pay for these. If they make that decision and head in that direction, we need to be patient,” Filler–Corn said. “We want to make sure every vote counts and that we go through the process.”
Neither candidate has said yet whether they intend to seek recounts.
Spokespersons for the candidates did not respond to text and voicemail messages left by The Associated Press on Monday.
Kate Sarna, a spokesperson for the House Democratic Caucus, declined to comment.
Under state law, once the state certifies the results, the losing candidates have 10 days to file petitions in court seeking recounts. Because the courts will be closed for Thanksgiving on Nov. 25 and Nov. 26, the deadline is Nov. 29.
Department of Elections Commissioner Chris Piper told a Richmond civic group last week that recounts are unlikely to change the outcomes of the races because of the size of the margins.
“We conducted a safe, secure and incredibly smooth election,” Piper told the Board of Elections just before it voted 5-0 to certify the election results.
If Republicans hold onto districts 85 and 91, they will control the House, 52-48, and complete an elections sweep in which they also reclaimed the offices of governor, lieutenant governor and attorney general. The state Senate has a slim 21-19 Democratic majority, with elections scheduled for 2023.
Republicans have repeatedly said they are confident the recount will not change the results of either race and that they will control the House when the General Assembly reconvenes in January.
Recounts in Virginia are not automatic. Under state law, a candidate cannot request a recount until the results are officially certified by the State Board of Elections.
If Mugler and Askew file petitions, a “recount court” of three judges would oversee the recounts. It is unclear how long the process would take, but in 2017, when partisan control of the House came down to a pivotal Hampton Roads seat, the recount was not held until late December.
The Republican victories are seen in part as a backlash against a series of progressive reforms that the former Democratic majority pushed through over the past two years, making Virginia an outlier in the South. Those included repealing the death penalty, loosening abortion restrictions and legalizing marijuana.
They also included radical assaults on Virginia’s Confederate monuments, aggressive attempts at gun-control legislation that saw thousands gather in protest, and failed attempts to secure permanent majorities through dubious voter “reform” measures.
At one point, several rural Virginia counties seriously humored the possibility of seceding to join West Virginia.
Democrats held a 55-45 majority in the House heading into the election.
Adapted from reporting by the Associated Press