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Thursday, April 25, 2024

Census Projections for 2030 Already Show Huge Losses for Blue States

The numbers reflect the larger American flight from large, congested urban centers...

(Jacob Bruns, Headline USA) Projections for the 2030 census predict potentially massive population drops in Democrat-run blue states, Real Clear Politics reported.

Republicans had already made substantial gains in the House of Representatives–and therefore the Electoral College— as a result of the 2020 census, despite potential foul play on the part of the Left.

The report, pulling from an American Redistricting Project forecast, projects that leftist strongholds like California, New York and Illinois stand to lose big in 2030.

Projections indicate that California stands to lose five seats, New York, three, and Illinois, two.

The numbers reflect the larger American flight from large, congested urban centers to more spacious–and more conservative–regions.

The states expected to pick up electoral college votes are almost exclusively centrist or right-leaning, including Texas and Florida, which are each projected to gain four seats, as well as and Georgia, North Carolina, Tennessee, Arizona, Utah, Idaho and Delaware, all of which are on the docket for one.

If those projected numbers were applied to the Trump vs. Biden race in 2020, Trump’s likelihood of victory would spike.

Unfortunately for Republicans, the predictions are not certain. The left’s commitment to open border policies, supported by those at the highest levels, could continue to radically shift the political landscape.

Further, the U.S. Census Bureau is expressing increasingly woke opinions, which could undermine trust in its numbers over time.

Earlier this year, for example, the bureau announced that it is taking preliminary steps toward revising racial and ethnic classifications following calls for more accurate categories for how people identify themselves in federal data gathering.

Also some census-takers who falsified information during the 2020 count didn’t have their work redone fully, weren’t fired in a timely manner and in some cases even received bonuses.

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